Which Website Has The Better Fantasy Football Projections: NFL.com or ESPN?

Authors

  • Brett M. Dineen Middlebury College
  • David W. Packer Middlebury College
  • Michael C. Hayes Middlebury College
  • Matthew E. Bell Middlebury College
  • Paul Martin Sommers Middlebury College

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47611/jsr.v7i2.502

Keywords:

National Football League, Fantasy Football, ESPN, simple regression

Abstract

The authors use simple bilinear regression to assess the accuracy of projections made for fantasy football enthusiasts at the start of the 2015, 2016, and 2017 National Football League (NFL) seasons by two popular sites: NFL.com and ESPN.  Comparisons reveal that over the three seasons combined NFL.com did a marginally better job predicting the future performance of running backs and wide receivers, while ESPN did a much better job predicting the future performance of quarterbacks and tight ends.  The mode of analysis presented in this paper can be used to measure the accuracy of any site for any positional group of players in any given NFL season.

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Author Biographies

Brett M. Dineen, Middlebury College

Student majoring in Mathematics and Economics

David W. Packer, Middlebury College

Student majoring in Economics and History

Michael C. Hayes, Middlebury College

Student majoring in Economics

Matthew E. Bell, Middlebury College

Student majoring in Economics

Paul Martin Sommers, Middlebury College

Professor of Economics

Published

08-01-2019

How to Cite

Dineen, B. M., Packer, D. W., Hayes, M. C., Bell, M. E., & Sommers, P. M. (2019). Which Website Has The Better Fantasy Football Projections: NFL.com or ESPN?. Journal of Student Research, 7(2), 42-48. https://doi.org/10.47611/jsr.v7i2.502

Issue

Section

Research Articles