Which Website Has The Better Fantasy Football Projections: NFL.com or ESPN?
Keywords:National Football League, Fantasy Football, ESPN, simple regression
The authors use simple bilinear regression to assess the accuracy of projections made for fantasy football enthusiasts at the start of the 2015, 2016, and 2017 National Football League (NFL) seasons by two popular sites: NFL.com and ESPN. Comparisons reveal that over the three seasons combined NFL.com did a marginally better job predicting the future performance of running backs and wide receivers, while ESPN did a much better job predicting the future performance of quarterbacks and tight ends. The mode of analysis presented in this paper can be used to measure the accuracy of any site for any positional group of players in any given NFL season.
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