Modeling the Changes in the Prevalence of Complex PTSD in Undergraduate Males and Females
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47611/jsrhs.v11i3.2950Keywords:
Systems Dynamics, Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder, Eating Disorders, Substance Use Disorders, Suicide, Undergraduate StudentsAbstract
In the last decade, there has been a great increase in interest surrounding mental health services, which has resulted in university counseling departments becoming overwhelmed with interested clients. The purpose of this study was to project the changes in undergraduate male and female student populations who have complex PTSD and common comorbid mental illnesses in order to provide guidance to counseling departments, since different therapeutic techniques have varying levels of effectiveness for different mental illnesses. Functions of best fit of data from previous studies were calculated and derived using Mathematica and Desmos Graphing Calculator in order to have differential equations for the flows of the systems dynamics STELLA model. The initial values in the stocks in the STELLA model were found by evaluating the non-derived function of best fit at time zero. It was concluded that the number and percentage of undergraduates living with PTSD will be fluctuating from 2022 to 2032, but the number of males and females seeking recovery will be increasing, resulting in a decrease in comorbid eating disorders and/or PTSD-related suicides. The results are likely linked to the decrease in the stigma surrounding mental health and therapy, especially in young populations and will help university counseling departments prepare to better meet the needs of future students.
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