Holistic Research Report of COVID-19 Pandemic

Authors

  • Henry Pinner San Francisco University High School
  • Byron Philhour Mentor, San Francisco University High School

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47611/jsrhs.v10i4.1818

Keywords:

Pandemic, Virus, COVID-19, Lockdown, Country, Testing Rate

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic has left no one untouched, impacting the lives of billions of people. Due to the variance in socio-economic, political, and even belief systems around the world, different geographies have chosen to combat the virus in very different ways. The objective of our independent research was to identify what factors played a role in certain countries having a “better” response than others during the COVID-19 pandemic and then to relate that back to the political and cultural characteristics of those countries. We first researched coronavirus characteristics and compared them to those of previous pandemics to understand, physically, why the virus is hard to stop. Our research finds that COVID-19 has relatively “average” characteristics for infection and case fatality rates, but the difficulty lies in the time delay from more extended incubation periods and testing results turnaround times. That, along with the disproportionate effect on people with weak immune systems and pre-existing conditions, has made the virus hard to prevent without strict lockdowns of large parts of individual economies. Using this knowledge as a baseline, we analyzed what factors led to some countries adopting more effective responses than others by examining the general government response timelines of six countries: Germany, France, South Korea, Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Our analysis finds that the differing effectiveness of a country's COVID-19 response can be narrowed down to three main factors: reaction time, protective policy enforcement, and testing rates. Moreover, we find that the responses often mirror the social and political climate of the country. 

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

Byron Philhour, Mentor, San Francisco University High School

Dean of Students at San Francisco University High School

References or Bibliography

Adeline, Stephanie, Connie Hanzhang Jin, Alyson Hurt, Thomas Wilburn, Daniel Wood, Ruth Talbot, Elena Rankin, Sean McMinn, and Audrey Carlsen. "How Severe Is Your State's Coronavirus Outbreak?" Edited by Carmel Wroth. NPR. Last modified March 16, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/09/01/816707182/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s.

BBC News (London). "Earlier Coronavirus Lockdown 'Could Have Saved 36,000 Lives.'" May 22, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-52757150.

Berndtson, Jillian. "How Viruses Spread." MI Blues Perspectives. Last modified March 25, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.mibluesperspectives.com/2020/03/25/how-viruses-spread/.

Bradsher, Keith. "With Covid-19 under Control, China's Economy Surges Ahead." The New York Times (New York City, NY), October 18, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/18/business/china-economy-covid.html.

Buchholz, Katharina. "Strict or Lenient? COVID-19 Lockdowns Compared." Infographic. Statista. June 18, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.statista.com/chart/22048/university-of-oxford-coronavirus-containment-and-health-index-selected-countries/.

"Characteristics of Infectious Disease." Lumen Learning. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://courses.lumenlearning.com/microbiology/chapter/characteristics-of-infectious-disease/.

Charumilind, Sarun, Matt Craven, Jessica Lamb, Adam Sabow, and Matt Wilson. "When Will the COVID-19 Pandemic End?" McKinsey and Company. Last modified January 20, 2021. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/healthcare-systems-and-services/our-insights/when-will-the-covid-19-pandemic-end.

"Coronavirus (COVID-19): Travel Corridors." Gov.uk. Last modified July 3, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-travel-corridors.

"Coronavirus in Germany." Infographic. Deutschland.de. May 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.deutschland.de/en/the-timeline-corona-virus-germany.

Deutsche Welle (Bonn, Germany). "Coronavirus: What Are the Lockdown Measures across Europe?" April 14, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.dw.com/en/coronavirus-what-are-the-lockdown-measures-across-europe/a-52905137.

Du, Zhanwei, Emily Javan, Ciara Nugent, Benjamin J. Cowling, and Lauren Ancel Meyers. "Using the COVID-19 to Influenza Ratio to Estimate Early Pandemic Spread in Wuhan, China and Seattle, US." EClinicalMedicine 26 (August 12, 2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100479.

Dwarakanath, Priya. "Charting COVID-19 by Country: Early Actions Brought Big Rewards." Swiss Re. Last modified July 1, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.swissre.com/reinsurance/life-and-health/l-h-risk-trends/charting-the-course-of-covid-19-by-country.html.

"Emerging COVID-19 Success Story: South Korea Learned the Lessons of MERS." Our World in Data. Last modified June 30, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://ourworldindata.org/covid-exemplar-south-korea.

Fischetti, Mark, Veronica Falconieri Hayes, Britt Glaunsinger, and Jen Christiansen. "A Visual Guide to the SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus." Scientific American, July 1, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-visual-guide-to-the-sars-cov-2-coronavirus/.

Gavi. "How Does COVID-19 Compare to past Pandemics?" Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance. Last modified June 1, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/how-does-covid-19-compare-past-pandemics.

Gov.cn. "Shanghai Makes Wearing Masks Mandatory in Public Places." English.gov.cn. Accessed February 19, 2021. http://english.www.gov.cn/news/topnews/202002/08/content_WS5e3eaceec6d0a585c76cac77.html.

The Guardian (London, United Kingdom). "China's Coronavirus Lockdown Strategy: Brutal but Effective." March 19, 2020. Accessed March 22, 2021. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/19/chinas-coronavirus-lockdown-strategy-brutal-but-effective.

He, Elaine, and Lionel Laurent. "The World Is Masking Up, Some Are Opting out." Bloomberg News (New York City, NY), July 16, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-opinion-coronavirus-global-face-mask-adoption/.

"How to Interpret the 15,152 Surge in COVID-19 New Cases of February 12." In Worldometer. Worldometers.info, 2020. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/how-to-interpret-feb-12-case-surge/.

Janeway, Charles A., Jr., Paul Travers, Mark Walport, and Mark J. Shlomchik. Immunobiology. 5th ed. New York City, NY: Garland Science, 2001. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK27114/.

JHU.edu. Johns Hopkins University and Medicine Coronavirus Research Center. Accessed March 16, 2021. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/.

Kim, Max S. "South Korea Is Watching Quarantined Citizens with a Smartphone App." MIT Technology Review, March 6, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/03/06/905459/coronavirus-south-korea-smartphone-app-quarantine/.

Liu, Xinzhi, and Peter Stechlinski. "Infectious Disease Models with Time-Varying Parameters and General Nonlinear Incidence Rate." ScienceDirect 36, no. 5 (May 2012): 1974-94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2011.08.019.

Markowitz, Andy. "State-by-State Guide to Face Mask Requirements." AARP. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.aarp.org/health/healthy-living/info-2020/states-mask-mandates-coronavirus.html.

Mueller, Benjamin. "After Months of Debate, England Requires Face Masks for Shoppers." The New York Times (New York City, NY), July 14, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/14/world/europe/uk-coronavirus-masks-mandate.html.

Oke, Jason, Daniel Howdon, and Carl Heneghan. "Declining COVID-19 Case Fatality Rates across All Ages: Analysis of German Data." The Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine. Last modified September 9, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/declining-covid-19-case-fatality-rates-across-all-ages-analysis-of-german-data/.

Petersen, Eskild, Marion Koopmans, Unyeong Go, Davidson H. Hamer, Nicola Petrosillo, Francesco Castelli, Merete Storgaard, Sulien Al Khalili, and Lone Simonsen. "Comparing SARS-CoV-2 with SARS-CoV and Influenza Pandemics." The Lancet Infectious Diseases 20, no. 9 (September 2020): 238-44. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30484-9.

Pleitgen, Fred. "Germans Face Fines of up to $5,000 as Wearing a Face Mask Becomes Mandatory." CNN (Atlanta, GA), April 27, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/27/europe/germany-face-mask-mandatory-grm-intl/index.html.

Roser, Max, Hannah Ritchie, Esteban Ortiz-Ospina, and Joe Hasell. "Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)." Chart. Our World in Data. 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus.

Sanchez, Eduardo. "COVID-19 Science: Why Testing Is so Important." American Heart Association News (Dallas, TX), April 2, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.heart.org/en/news/2020/04/02/covid-19-science-why-testing-is-so-important.

Shin, Hyonhee, and John Smith. "South Korea Scrambles to Add Hospital Beds as Covid-19 Resurgence Strains System." Reuters (London), September 3, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-southkorea/south-korea-scrambles-to-add-hospital-beds-as-covid-19-resurgence-strains-system-idUSKBN25U14N.

Smit, Sven, Martin Hirt, Kevin Buehler, Susan Lund, Ezra Greenberg, and Arvind Govindarajan. "Safeguarding Our Lives and Our Livelihoods: The Imperative of Our Time." McKinsey and Company. Last modified March 23, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/strategy-and-corporate-finance/our-insights/safeguarding-our-lives-and-our-livelihoods-the-imperative-of-our-time.

Smith, David, and Lang Moore. "The SIR Model for Spread of Disease - the Differential Equation Model." Loci/JOMA. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.maa.org/press/periodicals/loci/joma/the-sir-model-for-spread-of-disease-the-differential-equation-model.

"UK Summary." GOV.UK. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/.

USA.gov. "Presidential Proclamations on Novel Coronavirus." Travel.state.gov. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/News/visas-news/presidential-proclamation-coronavirus.html.

WHO. "Listings of WHO's Response to COVID-19." World Health Organization. Last modified June 29, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.who.int/news/item/29-06-2020-covidtimeline.

Yoon, Dasl. "How South Korea Solved Its Acute Hospital-Bed Shortage." Wall Street Journal (New York City, NY), March 22, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-south-korea-solved-its-acute-hospital-bed-shortage-11584874801.

Zhang, Zoey. "China's Travel Restrictions Due to COVID-19: An Explainer." China Briefing, September 23, 2020. Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.china-briefing.com/news/chinas-travel-restrictions-due-to-covid-19-an-explainer/.

Published

11-30-2021

How to Cite

Pinner, H., & Philhour, B. . (2021). Holistic Research Report of COVID-19 Pandemic. Journal of Student Research, 10(4). https://doi.org/10.47611/jsrhs.v10i4.1818

Issue

Section

HS Research Projects